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☆ Here come JPMorgan's earnings. These are the key things traders are watching for in the report
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The banking giant is expected to report earnings of $4.15 per share and $41.84 billion in revenue, according to LSEG. Many analysts also anticipate an upward revision to net interest income guidance, with the firm already forecasting $90 billion for the full year. Graseck views JPMorgan as one of the best-positioned stocks for upward net interest income revisions, also highlighting its significant excess capital relative to others within the firm's coverage. What else to watch If not during earnings, this upward guidance adjustment to net interest income could occur at JPMorgan's investor day in May, she said. Another key figure some analysts are watching is earnings from First Republic, which the company took over in May 2023 .

Persons: JPM, Piper Sandler's Scott Siefers, Morgan Stanley's Betsy Graseck, Graseck, Goldman Sachs, Richard Ramsden, America's Ebrahim Poonawala, Erika Najarian, NII, Wells, Mike Mayo, Ramsden Organizations: JPMorgan, Wall Street, Management, Bank, America's, First Locations: buybacks, First Republic, Republic

☆ The Fed kept rates steady, but banks are cutting CD yields. Find good deals here
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-21 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Federal Reserve kept a steady hand on interest rates at its latest meeting, but banks are already dropping yields on certificates of deposit. Astute rate shoppers can still find a few offering rates above 5% however. However, banks are already preparing for the move by becoming a little less generous on what they pay for deposits. "Deposit pricing competition has been decelerating as banks position for the Fed to begin cutting rates at some point in 2024." You may also be able to find attractive yields if you're willing to look for CDs with odd time frames.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Morgan, Bread Financial, American Express, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial

☆ This little-known bank is offering one of the highest CD rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Banks are dialing back the yields they pay on certificates of deposit, but a notable name is still commanding one of the highest rates available. New York Community Bank offers the highest CD rate for maturities under 36 months among the banks in Morgan Stanley's coverage, coming in at 5.5%. Webster Financial followed in second place, with a rate of 5.4%, and Bank OZK rounded out the top three with a rate of 5.3%. New York Community Bank is offering a sweetened annual percentage yield at a time when the institution itself is going through a period of tumult. NYCB YTD line YTD performance of NYCB shares In late January, the Hicksville, New York-based bank took a higher-than-anticipated charge against expected loan losses .

Persons: Banks, Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck Organizations: New York Community Bank, Webster, Bank OZK, Moody's Investors Service, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Fed Locations: Morgan, , New York

☆ Here's why Morgan Stanley upgraded Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and Citi
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why Morgan Stanley upgraded Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and CitiBetsy Graseck, Morgan Stanley managing director, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the firm's recent upgrade of bank stocks, the importance of recent news for the banks, and more.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Citi Betsy Graseck Organizations: Bank of America, Citi

7:08 a.m.: BTIG upgrades Block to buy, bullish on Cash App and Square growth Analyst Andrew Harte upgraded Block to buy from neutral, saying margins are poised to expand. His $85 price target implies shares could gain more than 23%. Braziler's new price target of $72, higher by $10, suggests about 2.7% potential upside over the next 12 months. That is equivalent to $12B revenue or 800k units," wrote analyst Srini Pajjuri. Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Citigroup to $65 from $46, implying upside of 20.1% over the next 12 months.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Andrew Harte, Harte, Cash, — Pia Singh, Timur Braziler, …, Braziler, WAL, Oppenheimer, Brian Nagel, Nagel, Raymond James, Adam Tindle, Tindle, CrowdStrike, Batya Levi, Levi, EBITDA, Raymond James downgrades, Srini Pajjuri, Fred Imbert, Goldman Sachs Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck, Graseck, Goldman Organizations: CNBC, Bank of America, Citigroup, UBS, Spotify, Western Alliance, Alliance Bancorp, Palo Alto Networks, AMD, BofA, Global Banking, Markets Locations: Wells Fargo Wells, CY23, Basel

☆ CD rates are coming down. Here’s where you can lock in yields of nearly 5% for 2 years
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes starting in March 2022 led to a sharp runup in yields on Treasurys. Rates on a range of otherwise plain vanilla investments also rose sharply, with money market funds offering yields exceeding 5%, and some banks boosting their CD yields to lure deposits. See below for a table of longer-term CD yields and where you can get them. There's also a tradeoff: You can collect this higher yield, but you'll have to be comfortable with reduced access to your money. By locking in an 18-month or 24-month CD, savers can benefit from today's higher yields well after the Fed begins dialing back rates.

Persons: Banks, Sallie Mae, Morgan Stanley's Betsy Graseck, There's Organizations: Ally

☆ These two banks just hiked their 1-year CD yield to 5.3%
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Marcus by Goldman Sachs and Synchrony Financial each raised the annual percentage yield on their 1-year certificates of deposit to 5.3% this past week, according to an analysis from Wells Fargo. Even if the central bank were to step back from its monetary policy stance, banks could still see pressure from higher deposit costs as they compete with money market funds and lower cost CDs reprice at higher rates. Investors hiding in cash-like instruments, including money market funds and savings accounts, face reinvestment risk if interest rates decline. Savers who want the safety of a steady rate for two years also saw yields go up for CDs at select banks this past week. Marcus by Goldman Sachs hiked its APY to 4.85% for its 2-year CD, and Discover Financial boosted its rate to 4.4%.

Persons: Marcus, Goldman Sachs, Richer, Morgan Stanley's Betsy Graseck, Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal, Synchrony, Bread, Fed, Discover Financial Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Keep your sweetened CD yields going with this maneuver
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The one-year Treasury bill is yielding 5.47% Wednesday, and one-year CDs at some institutions offer annual percentage yields exceeding 5%. "It always makes sense to look at the landscape," said Danika Waddell, a certified financial planner and founder of Xena Financial Planning. Ally Financial and Bread Financial are among the institutions offering a higher renewal rate for customers who stick around. Consider that about a year ago, the average one-year CD had an APY of less than 1%, according to Bankrate.com . Consider that Synchrony Financial has an 11-month no-penalty CD that offers a 4.5% APY, while its 12-month standard CD yields 5.1%.

Persons: Danika Waddell, Morgan Stanley, Banks, Betsy Graseck, Mark Hamrick, It's, Waddell, Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Investors, Xena, PNC, WFC, Bankrate.com, Ally, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp Locations: JPM

☆ Bank earnings kick off with JPMorgan, Wells Fargo amid concerns about rising rates, bad loans
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Just as they did during the March regional banking crisis, higher rates are expected to lead to a jump in losses on banks' bond portfolios and contribute to funding pressures as institutions are forced to pay higher rates for deposits. The issue constrains the bank's interest revenue and has made the lender the worst stock performer this year among the top six U.S. institutions. Expectations on the impact of higher rates on banks' balance sheets varied. Still, others including KBW and UBS analysts said that other factors could soften the capital hit from higher rates for most of the industry. There's also concern that higher interest rates will result in ballooning losses in commercial real estate and industrial loans.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, Marco Bello, Christopher McGratty, David Konrad, McGratty, Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck, Konrad, Gerard Cassidy Organizations: JPMorgan Chase &, Reuters, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank, Silicon Valley Bank, First, Bank of America, Comerica, Fifth Third Bank, KeyBank, UBS, RBC Locations: Miami , Florida, U.S, Wells Fargo, Silicon, First Republic

☆ This bank ended the third quarter with a bang, boosting its CD yield to 5.6%
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-02 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Banks that hiked yields in the final stretch of the third quarter include Bread Financial , which is now offering an annual percentage yield of 5.6% for a 1-year CD. One basis point equals one-hundredth of a percentage point. "We expect at least one more guide up from bank management teams on deposit betas as the Fed keeps rates higher for longer," wrote Morgan Stanley analyst Betsy Graseck. Those factors include competition from money market funds for depositors' dollars, and lower-yielding CDs repricing at higher rates, she added. The San Francisco Fed forecast that the last of these dollars would be depleted during the third quarter of 2023.

Persons: Stephens, Vincent Caintic, Banks, Ally Financial, Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bread, Federal Reserve, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of San, San Francisco Fed Locations: Stephens, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

☆ Morgan Stanley names its top dividend-paying stock picks
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

When picking dividend-paying stocks to stabilize your portfolio in tumultuous times, don't just go for higher yields — look for the growers, according to Morgan Stanley. Dividend-paying stocks have outperformed nondividend payers across all large-cap sectors going back to 2000, except for consumer discretionary, Morgan Stanley said. Energy Transfer , a company that operates in the natural gas pipeline industry, is rated overweight by Morgan Stanley analyst Robert Kad. Morgan Stanley also likes Mondelez International , the company behind Sour Patch Kids candy and Oreo cookies. Morgan Stanley anticipates banks will be able to grow their dividends about 5% in 2024.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, Robert Kad, Pamela Kaufman, Betsy Graseck, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Mondelez, Financial, Regions Locations: outperformance, Birmingham , Alabama

Since the central bank kicked off its policy-tightening campaign in March 2022 — boosting interest rates 11 times — income investors have benefited from higher yields on Treasurys, money market funds and certificates of deposit. "From here, even if rates go higher you are locking in some really good income." If you're willing to sacrifice a little bit of liquidity, select banks will pay even higher yields. Drivers of those increases include higher-for-longer interest rates, and competition from Treasurys and money market funds, Graseck added. Money market funds Rates on money market funds have also jumped substantially since the rate-hiking campaign started.

Persons: Greg McBride, reinvest, US2Y, Treasurys, Sameer Samana, Sallie Mae, Morgan Stanley's Betsy Graseck, Graseck, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Nick Wells Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Savings, Synchrony, Bread Financial, Investment Company Locations: maturities, Wells Fargo

☆ Too good to last? This bank cut its 5.5% one-year CD rate just weeks after hiking
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Less than a month after hiking its 1-year certificate of deposit yield to 5.5%, SLM — or Sallie Mae — has cut its sweetened rate back down. The annual percentage yield on the bank's 1-year CD is now 5.1%, a 40 basis-point trim. At the time, the 5.5% rate made Sallie Mae's 1-year CD the most generous offered by the banks under Wells Fargo's coverage. That title now belongs to Bread Financial , which now pays a 5.5% yield on the instrument, and a 5.55% yield for customers who want to renew their 1-year CDs. Select banks have boosted deposit rates as the Federal Reserve has tightened its monetary policy since March 2022.

Persons: SLM —, Sallie Mae —, Sallie Mae's, Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck, Graseck, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve Locations: Wells

☆ This bank just hiked the rate on its 1-year CD to 5.5%
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-07 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"We expect more rate action in the weeks ahead," wrote Michael Kaye, analyst at Wells Fargo in a Friday report on deposit trends. Marcus and Synchrony each hiked yields by 5 basis points to 4.4% and 4.35%, respectively. However, customers who've already snapped up a CD are effectively locked into that rate for that stated term. That's different from a high-yield savings account, wherein the bank can change the rate at any time. "Even though the market doesn't expect any more rate hikes this cycle, we expect deposit costs to keep rising until the Fed cuts rates," she said.

Persons: Sallie Mae, Marcus, Goldman Sachs, Michael Kaye, Synchrony, Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Synchrony, Analysts, Wells, Fed

☆ Banks kicked off the last two weeks of July with higher rates on CDs. Where to find solid yields
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Good news for income-centric investors: Higher yields in the certificate of deposit market will continue through the remainder of 2023. Banks hiked rates on CDs through the last two weeks of July, with the average one-to-12-month rate rising by 11 basis points to 4.6%, according to Morgan Stanley analyst Betsy Graseck. See below for some of the institutions in Morgan Stanley's coverage that are also offering attractive rates. Graseck noted that over the past two weeks, rates on CDs in the 13-to-36-month range have fallen by 4 basis points. "We also expect banks to continue shortening the duration of their highest CD offers to position for a potential Fed rate cut in 1H24," she wrote.

Persons: Banks, Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck, AXP, Graseck, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: DFS, Morgan Locations: 1H24

[1/3] FILE PHOTO: A sign is displayed on the Morgan Stanley building in New York U.S., July 16, 2018. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson/File PhotoNEW YORK, July 25 (Reuters) - U.S. banking giants may take up to four years to set aside profits to meet new capital rules, according to a report by Morgan Stanley. U.S. banking regulators will on Thursday unveil a sweeping proposal for stricter bank capital requirements known as the "Basel III endgame" aimed at ensuring the stability of big banks under international rules rolled out after the 2008 financial crisis. Holding more RWA will require banks to set aside more capital under the new standards. Most of the need to raise capital would come from assessments of the bank's operational risks and their trading books.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Lucas Jackson, Betsy Graseck, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan, Michael Barr, Tatiana Bautzer, Pete Schroeder, Lananh Nguyen, Chris Reese Organizations: New York U.S, REUTERS, Citigroup, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Federal, Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Thomson Locations: New York, Basel, Washington

☆ This is Morgan Stanley's favorite card issuer heading into second-quarter earnings
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Morgan Stanley is getting excited about American Express earnings slated for release later this week. Analyst Betsy Graseck named American Express her top pick in the space with an overweight rating. American Express is the only card issuer to report full managed data for the final month during earnings, which starts for the group this week. Looking specifically at operating leverage, it could notch 430 basis points this year, which would be its highest in more than a decade. American Express earnings are slated for release Friday before the bell.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck, Graseck, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: American Express, Express, American Locations: Monday's

REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque/File PhotoNEW YORK, July 11 (Reuters) - Wall Street banks are expected to report higher profits for the second quarter as rising interest payments offset a downturn in dealmaking. Results for investment banking behemoths will also weaken, with EPS forecast to drop almost 59% at Goldman Sachs (GS.N). That offsets the doldrums in investment banking, where revenues have been depressed by rising interest rates and economic uncertainty. Reuters GraphicsBanking executives have also lowered expectations for the second quarter after mergers, acquisitions and debt offerings plunged in recent months. "We see higher credit risk ahead for lower to middle class families with higher credit card debt that cannot keep pace with higher living costs," Leon added.

Persons: Kevin Lamarque, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley's, David Konrad, Keefe, Goldman, Stephen Biggar, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck, Kenneth Leon, Leon, Konrad, Nupur Anand, Saeed Azhar, Niket, Lananh Nguyen, Marguerita Choy, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Bank of America, REUTERS, JPMorgan, . Bank of America's, Citigroup, Universal, Argus Research, JPMorgan Chase, Reuters Graphics Banking, Federal Reserve, CFRA Research, Investors, Thomson Locations: Washington, Wells, Refinitiv, Wells Fargo, U.S, New York, Bengaluru

☆ As regional bank stock rally regains steam, investors should watch out for these spoilers
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Christina Cheddar Berk | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

With the Federal Reserve expected to pause its rate-hiking campaign at this week's meeting, regional banks stocks have made a comeback, but that doesn't mean all the trouble is in the rearview mirror. Still, the upward march resumed on Tuesday, begging the question of what's ahead for bank stocks. As the Treasury sells tens of billions of dollars in Treasury bills, it could pressure bank deposits. Graseck predicts that a reacceleration of deposit outflows would snuff out the bank stock rally. In addition, regional bank earnings estimates, which had been cut severely in March and April, had leveled off in May.

Persons: Jack Ablin, Ablin, outflows, SVB, Aditya Bhave, Bhave, Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck, Graseck, Nicholas Colas, Huntington Bancshares, Matt O'Connor, KeyCorp, Albin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Cresset, Silvergate, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, PacWest Bancorp, Bank of America, Treasury, DataTrek Research, Citizens Financial Group, Truist, Morgan Stanley U.S, Financials, CRE Conference, Deutsche Bank, TFC Locations: Silicon, Federal, U.S, 2Q23, New York

☆ Online banks sweeten CD rates as institutions compete for deposits
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Online banks are boosting rates on savings accounts and certificates of deposits as fear of deposit flight plagues regional institutions. Bread offers an annual percentage yield (APY) of 5.2% on a one-year CD and 4.65% APY on savings accounts. Capital One has an APY of 3.75% on its savings account, and it pays 4.15% APY for a one-year online CD. Other online institutions paying attractive rates on one-year CDs include Synchrony Financial, which pays 4.75% APY, and Ally Bank, which offers a 4.5% APY. Analysts expect higher rates from online banks to spur other institutions to raise their deposit betas – that is, the amount by which rates paid to customers increases following a boost in the fed funds rate.

☆ Here's what's next for bank stocks after the failure of First Republic
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-01 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

First Republic's demise was the third regional bank failure since early March, when Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank folded within days of each other. There is cautious optimism on Wall Street that First Republic will be the last failure of this period. However, reports from other regional banks weren't nearly as dire, with many reporting that deposits had stabilized and were growing again. However, the failure of First Republic could cause some more turbulence, at least in the short-term, for both deposits and bank stocks. "We don't believe that regional banks are completely out of the woods," Wolfe Research chief investment strategist Chris Senyek said in a note to clients on Monday.

☆ More US consumers are falling behind on payments
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-18 | by ( Tatiana Bautzer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

REUTERS/Andrew KellyNEW YORK, April 18 (Reuters) - Consumers are starting to fall behind on their credit card and loan payments as the economy softens, according to executives at the biggest U.S. banks, although they said delinquency levels were still modest. Citigroup also made larger provisions for credit losses even as it brought in more revenue from clients' interest payments on credit cards. "We have tightened credit standards specifically as a result of the current market environment in cards, we continue to calibrate our credit underwriting based on what we're seeing based on macroeconomic trends," Mason said. "The consumer's in great shape in terms of credit quality by any historical standards. Some of JPMorgan's customers were starting to fall behind on payments, but delinquency levels were still modest, said Jeremy Barnum, finance chief at the largest U.S. lender.

Both Goldman and Fitch did not specify which small lenders were most vulnerable. The total exposure of the U.S. banking system to CRE loans was $2.5 trillion at the end of December, Fitch said. HEADWINDSThe CRE market faces headwinds that could hobble small banks. Rising interest rates have also depressed demand for CRE loans, while weighing on real estate investment trusts (REITs). Goldman's Viswanathan cited several indicators that reflected a weakening market for office real estate: declining occupancy rates, falling appraisal values and rising defaults.

☆ Here are Morgan Stanley's favorite quality stocks to buy as bear market nears end
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-21 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

As investors start preparing for the end of the bear market, Morgan Stanley has identified a number of stocks it expects to outperform once the next bull market begins. He has an overweight rating on the stock and a $135 price target, which suggests about 33% upside from Monday's close. He has an overweight rating on Costco and a $520 price target, which implies a little more than 6% upside from Monday's close. Graseck has an overweight rating on JPM and a $173 price target, which implies 36% upside from Monday's close. His $155 price target suggests the stock could rally more than 20% from Monday's close.

☆ U.S. banks should defend by boosting liquidity, curbing risk -Morgan Stanley
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

[1/2] People take photos by the Morgan Stanley building in Times Square in New York City, New York U.S., February 20, 2020. "Expect management teams will open up the defense playbook," said a Morgan Stanley report led by Betsy Graseck. The bank said the sector is already in "systemic risk territory," as the U.S. Treasury, the Federal Reserve and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) jointly invoked the systemic risk exception last week. Morgan Stanley also said U.S. banks should tighten lending standards, which will make it tougher to get a loan. "We don't think large banks will come in and entirely fill the vacuum that the regional banks leave, as most banks will want to tighten standards," it said.

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